This has got to be one of the craziest hurricane forecast tracks I have ever seen.
Kurt / others in the SE environs...batten 'em down. Who knows where this'un is gonna go.
I bent the track around with intense wishing for it not to come up to New England and destroy Mona while we are away. Sorry to anyone down there. In all seriousness, I hope everything comes out OK for folks farther south. I can't wait for hurricane season to be over.
Just by chance, I had previously asked for Su/Mo/Tu off. I'll be at the boat to pick up any pieces and assess. Emma is on the hard in Fort Pierce. Matthew at the moment is about the worst case scenario. I am glad not to be in the water however.
Have my fingers crossed for you.
Good luck, Todd, hope you fare well.
I am still in my marina, pretty much "last man standing", it's ***really*** empty. :)
Been watching forecasts closely, the way they have changed over the past couple days has been great. Right now forecast is for about 50mph E/ENE winds - that's *across* the river I am on - so if that holds I will stay put.
If it sours, I can be off the dock and on a more sheltered one around in town in about 1.5 miles, 2 places to tie up aligned 90* from each other, which is just about perfect.
So all in all, if it sticks as is forecast now, 'evar' little t'ing, gon' be allright...'.
Well, Matthew decided to stay off shore. That is good.
According to the almanac data on wunderground.com, Ft. Pierce had sustained winds at 33 knots with gust over 50. We probably survived that OK. I'll there Sunday or Monday.
Thanks, everybody.
Glad to have it miss us here in the middle keys... Not even a shower in Marathon
Gonna try for a second pass by Wed or so?
Got word back from friends on Green Turtle Cay.....the eye was far enough west they only had rain and strong winds....nothing serious. Happy for them all. (and Allure stored there)
Sure hope the folks on E coast Florida and Georgia fare out ok....
Be save
Been in touch with Connie/Pixie, she and Croc were stateside and heading back when Matt popped up, so they stayed in SoFlo, heading back tomorrow I think. They got word though that their island and boats and such all weathered well, so that is a good thing. :)
I am in marina, staying here tho' the storm is passing close, as the winds will be easterly their (hopefully) won't be much wave action in here. I figured why move to sit in a windy spot when I could just stay and sit here in a windy spot...
As long as the center stays anywhere south of passing N of here (including, heavens forbid, running right over top of us), then it'll just be a wind/rain event. As long as the wind cannot get enough fetch to make it bouncy, the rest is manageable, and I'll just have a few hours of experience of what it sounds like maybe-kinda in the Southern Oceans during a 'normal' storm there, right? :)
ION: Will be going up to Chessie for the A30 Oct 18th give or take a day. Can't wait! :D
The prognosis is good, Kurt, and as long as the deck is sound, you should stay dry!
I keep watching Mathew curve to the East and reduce the risk to the coastal areas of the Carolinas, plus steadily weakening. All in your favor so far.
The 17th should be a pleasant time of year to travel down from the Chesapeake in the A30.
I would not be much help as crew, but that is a journey that I have always wanted to do. If you go on the inside, do you have room for a short distance sailor? My calendar is open in that time period. Age has slowed me down a lot, but I am still sailing, and single hand my Mac 22 in good weather. A few years ago, I was still crew on a 30 foot Benneteau, tactician racing, and crew with the owner moving to and from the location of the race.
Glad Connie's boat is ok....
Southern Bamamas got it pretty bad in some places..
Track is not being kind. Have accepted that, and the possibility of losing the boat. Good thing I have backups. :) Put Barque in his second home (car, he loves it), parked on high ground. Snakes on docks seen when walking up to car, little cottonmouth showed me his pearly whites. Ditch bags packed, "Please, Jesus" lines (that's how I am thinking of them) run to the point that I have one big one left and nowhere to tie it onto (considering tying it right to the mast). Not much else to do.
Have had sustained winds i would put at stronger than 40; they seemed about what I feel when riding the scoot at 45mph. If lucky, the sustained winds will top out there, with some stronger gusts - hopefully infrequent. Storm center is SW of us now, about 100 miles away from here.
Been a long night. Might try and get an hour of shuteye while waiting on the sky to lighten up a bit, and hope that the slight E turn the storm has made since 2AM continues and continues and continues, and that a brush with the ACE Basin and Chas knock it down a bit, and that it doesn't get a whole lot worse. Maybe I'll get lucky. 8)
Standing by...
Hunker down, Kurt. I have faith in your preps. Wind speed probabilities don't look TOO terble for your AO. At least not high likelihood of Cat II {wink}.
Here's hoping that turn east starts early.
Hoping all is well, CapnK.
Boat still on top as of ~30 minutes ago, though heeling 15-20 degrees at times (while tied up...). Eye right at us, just south of here - I could see it except for the torrential rain, lol, but winds seem to be clocking around. Having done all I could for the boat, I packed up computers and cameras and the best 4 bottles of rum and am now up on the hill. Strong winds still, hoping the tin roof stays on my shed here. 2-3 more hours? should see us through, keeping my fingers and toes crossed. :)
I imagine it will feel like a very L o n g Few hours.....
Hope all is well...
Quote from: Frank on October 08, 2016, 11:31:57 AM
I imagine it will feel like a very L o n g Few hours.....
Hope all is well...
Yes, but isn't it just magical when the tone of the wind howling drops by that first 1/4 note and you start to really believe it is beginning to slacken?
NHC most recent Discussion product puts 'landfall' right at Georgetown.
Godspeed, Kurt.
Good luck, Kurt. Let us know when you're on the other side.
Just talked to Kurt. Has had some
Problems but he's ok. I'll leave it to him to fill in
Thanks for the update.
Been raining cats and dogs off and on all day...wind picking up a bit now and rain coming with a purpose. Storm center still a few hours away.
Got a little mood music going:
(1) Riding the Storm Out (REO Speedwagon)
(2) It's the End of the World as We Know It (REM)
(3) Rock You Like a Hurricane (The Scorpions)
(4) Riders On the Storm (The Doors)
(5) Hard Rain's A Gonna Fall (Bob Dylan)
(6) Fire and Rain (James Taylor)
(7) Have You Ever Seen The Rain (CCR)
(8) Thunderstruck (AC/DC)
(9) No rain (Blind Melon)
(10) Rain (The Beatles)
(11) Rain on the Scarecrow (John Mellencamp)
(12) Smokey Mountain Rain (Ronnie Milsap)
(13) Southern Rain (Cowboy Junkies)
(14) Dreams (Fleetwood Mac)
(15) Blowin' In the Wind (Peter Paul and Mary)
Take care, Kurt. Hope it's okay. Anxiously awaiting details.
Thunderstruck will get you out scrubbing decks in the middle of it all 😄😄
Add Thunderstruck by The Two Cellos...man, that's awesome. My son's Art teacher introduced us to that, and it's just great:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uT3SBzmDxGk
Stay safe everyone!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K-Op1Mng4oY (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K-Op1Mng4oY)
The radar did look very bad in his area for quite a while. Good to hear he is OK! Thanks CJ!
Since we're having a Thunderstruck marathon, here's one I just ran into:
https://youtu.be/e4Ao-iNPPUc (https://youtu.be/e4Ao-iNPPUc)
Nana na nana nah NAH
Quote from: Bubba the Pirate on October 08, 2016, 06:42:17 PM
Since we're having a Thunderstruck marathon, here's one I just ran into:
https://youtu.be/e4Ao-iNPPUc (https://youtu.be/e4Ao-iNPPUc)
Oh yes!
Heard this one a while back. Awesome stuff.
I love the creativity that has been coming out lately.
Any updates ?
Heard on the news while sleeping in this morning that Matthew had made landfall in South Carolina and that there was a considerable storm surge at Charleston...and knew that Georgetown was not far away.
Was out for the afternoon and evening, with thoughts of how you were doing, Kurt, and hoping for the best. Will continue to do the same...anxious to see your next update.
Charlie, glad that it missed your family in JAX; your boat, Todd, and Allure in the Bahamas, Frank.
The comments on storm music led me to seek out one of my favorites...and discovered a fine new-to-me version...
Full Force Gale by Van Morrison
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2AT0rbDx9A
Great tunes !
Kurt.....how are Ya doing?
Dito the "Kurt! how are you doing?" Maybe Internet is out?
Hope youre OK!
...and wondering why i didn't find this thread yesterday, and started a ner one! ...never mind, fr.o.m. What i can see online now Matthew is not quite a Monster anyone, is that correct? I certainly hope so!
Maxi....good to see you back!
Matthew is now downgraded and moving offshore, but not before doing lots of damage between wind, rain and a massive storm surge in some locals from Florida up to NC.
Last count was 15 dead in the USA, hundreds further S.
Poorest of the country's-Haiti, was the worst hit and largest death toll.
After last report summation:
Eye went right over us. A blessed 20 or so calm minutes before about 8 hours of backside hellaciousness. Local airport which is *always* far underreporting wind speed (it is miles inland, in forest) clocked a gust at 65, while Myrtle (usually more reliable) had one at 74, but someone here in town reported over 100, which I think not far fetched as I saw 20' high clouds of whiteout spray lifted off the surface more than once. A lot more.
It was dicey for the first hour of backside as winds clocked 180 degrees to the WNW and then built fast. I was unprepared for that quick of shift, but luckily only 2 of the 4 boats I was tending - mine and the P/A35 in the next slip - were out of any wind shadow (I had moved Katie and Skiff to inner slips Friday). Lucky in that the "normal" dock lines didn't part while I shifted around all of my Please, Jesus lines, even tho both boats were heeling 20 or more in the very frequent gusts.
Even luckier, immediately after getting things in control (relatively...), I went below to take a break. No sooner than I had unzipped my jacket, there was a loud report and then something hard hit the deck, port side. I thought something must have fallen off the A35. Jumped out on deck to look for big piece of debris, and there was none to be seen. Perplexing.
Until I saw the twin turnbuckles of the doubled intermediate and cap shroud dragging an upper portion of what had been chain plate around on deck as the boat moved...
Gadzooks! NOT what you ever want to see. Makes a praying man out of you right quicklike. ;D
But I had some fat line sitting right there in the cockpit, so I jumped out and made up the jury rig you see in the attached pic, and that held for the rest of the storm, and I am tired of typing on this tablet screen so I reckon that's all for now. :)
Re: songs - you missed "The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald".
Because... "When the waves turn the minutes to hours?"
That line kept playing over and over in my head the whole time. It really did. :)
And waves/wind - well, same, in effect. ;) lol
Its too bad that you cannot heave-to at dockside! ;D
Geez
Musta been kinda "intense" for a few hours!
Glad you're ok and damage is relatively minimal all things considered
Get some rest...
It sure is good to see you posting on this side of the storm!
Lucky that the shrouds came loose after the worst of the storm had passed, not just luck that you were there to save the rig! That would have been much more difficult with the mast thrashing around, and near impossible to get tight .
Norman
I have never seen a better reason to have that style of toe rail! Plenty of places to tie, and distributed as well.
As a retired electric utility employee who worked storms on the system for 40 years, well understand the stress of this kind of event. I worked when Agnes went through Washington DC, a retired name for good reason. When things happen, they are rarely expected, but the response must be right and fast. We had more than 5 hurricanes here in those years but the big A was the worst, $220 million damage in MD alone.
Is Barque back on board?
Kurt,
Glad to hear you weathered okay, if a bit battered. Ya'll got smacked.
We ended up with a little more wind than I was expecting, but sustained topped out at just under TS strength recorded at the airport. I think we had some gusts in the 45-50 kt range. Rain was intense at times, but not constant.
But, we seem to have been in a little bubble of sorts. Places 30+ miles farther inland than us got hit harder which is a bit strange and counterintuitive. Well, it was a weird storm in several respects.
Headed to the next town East from here this morning. Little visible storm damage unless you really looked. Except for one thing that was pretty telling: concrete embedded light pole in a grocery store parking lot leaning over with concrete ripped from the ground. I'm guessing some kind of 'microtornado' or some such? Very 'local' damage.
Other than that, a few road signs down and only saw one downed tree of size. No puddled water, either or clear signs of flooding. Roads dry. Again, west of here had Interstates closed due to flooding, but not here.
Just wild.
Again, Kurt...good to hear from you. Thanks for the update.
Sounds harrowing.
Glad you're alright CapnK!
OK, so who said - and I know some of you did, because *I* would have :) , and knew that as I wrote about the wind speed:
"100 mph+? No way. He's exaggerating; it just always SEEMS stronger than it actually was, so it was probably only 70 or 75mph there..."
Well, would you believe...
NOAA? (Pending confirmation, I misread the URL...)
:D
So, we won the GA/SC Coast High Wind Contest. A dubious honor, at best.
Wish we weren't even in it, though...
Glad you all faired well. I guess now I can say "no photos it didn't happen" ;) ::) ;D
Not pics, but some video shot during the storm backside by another sailor who was tied up on Front Street. It's FB video, no way to embed it, but maybe you can see it at this link:
https://www.facebook.com/Captaindavewallace/videos/1210235982382835/ (https://www.facebook.com/Captaindavewallace/videos/1210235982382835/)
Yes, good to hear that you got through it okay, Kurt. Nice improvised jury rig on your shroud. :)
Now, am concerned about John and family with the reports of ongoing flooding in Eastern North Carolina...
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/10/us/weather-matthew/index.html
Hope that you all are doing well.
Quote from: Jim_ME on October 12, 2016, 02:34:07 PM
Yes, good to hear that you got through it okay, Kurt. Nice improvised jury rig on your shroud. :)
Now, am concerned about John and family with the reports of ongoing flooding in Eastern North Carolina...
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/10/us/weather-matthew/index.html
Hope that you all are doing well.
Appreciate the concern. We are well here. Some local spots still with road closures (enough that public schools have been closed for the entire week).
Lots of water to move through here yet, but I think we'll be ok. Was talking to a dude I know that lives on the Trent River about 10-ish mi up from New Bern yesterday, and he said the river is still rising at his place.
Quote from: Captain Smollett on October 12, 2016, 03:15:30 PM
Appreciate the concern. We are well here.
Glad to hear it. Thanks for the update. :)
Great to know you all farled well in that storm.
My cpngratulations to Kurt for the clever jury repair of the shroud!! Really shrewd for a shroud....when. I never was much for that kind of toenails, but now I am a convert! Will go out an d do missionary duty on it... ;D 8) :D
Just kidding, but all those points to tie things down is GrEAT,!
Cyclone Sean coming up her in SoAc now, so wil be heading to windward a few weeks to visit the Tuamotus on the way to theMarquesas. That mArquesas has never had a cyclone, since it's 800 miles E and N of here Lat. about 6-8 S
Cheers, Magnus, drifting around....
Have fun 'drifting around' Magnus 😄😄😄
Remember to post a pic or 2...3....4...